You are here

GLOBAL CONSTRAINT: EXTENDING POWER TRANSITION THEORY TO INCLUDE GREAT POWER INTERFERENCE

Journal Name:

Publication Year:

Author NameUniversity of Author
Abstract (2. Language): 
This paper investigates the influence of the great power hierarchy on minor power dyad conflict relations. The paper`s importance lies in providing a theoretical framework for studying great power interference in dyadic relations among minor powers within the power transition theory. Power transition theory assumes great power non-interference in war and peace dynamics among small power dyads. Building on the previous power transition based models of multiple hierarchy and regional hierarchy constraint, the global constraint model introduces the impact of the international system on the absence and existence of war among small powers within regions. Global constraint, the proposed explanatory variable, refers to the impact of the five most powerful states in the international system, and is operationalized as the ratio of arms transfers to the weaker dyad nation to that of the stronger one by the great powers.
Abstract (Original Language): 
Bu makale büyük güçler hiyerarşisinin diğer devletler arasındaki çatışma ilişkilerine etkisini incelemektedir. Güç geçişi teorisi içinde büyük devletlerin görece daha az güçlü devletler arasındaki ilişkilere olan etkisini incelemek için teorik bir yapı oluşturduğu için önemlidir. Güç geçişi teorisi büyük devletlerin diğer devletler arasındaki savaşbarış ilişkilerinde müdahalede bulunmadığını varsaymaktadır. Küresel kısıtlama modeli güç geçişi teorisi temelli çoklu hiyerarşiler ve bölgesel kısıtlama modellerine dayanmaktadır. Modelin farklılığı uluslararası sistemin bölgesel aktörler arasında savaş olup olmayacağına etkisinin incelenmesidir. Açıklayıcı değişken olarak küresel sınırlama uluslararası sistemdeki en güçlü beş devletin etkisine işaret etmektedir. Bu etki büyük güçlerin güçsüz taraf ve güçlü tarafa yaptıkları silah transferi oranı ile ölçülecektir.
FULL TEXT (PDF): 
1-12

REFERENCES

References: 

ALSHAYJI, A. K. (2002). “Mutual Realities, Perceptions, and Impediments between the GCC States and Iran”, in
POTTER, L. G. and SICK, G.G., eds. Security in the Persian Gulf: Origins, Obstacles, and the Search for
Consensus. New York: Palgrave.
ARASE, D. (1995). Buying Power: The Political Economy of Japan’s Foreign Aid. Boulder, CO: Lynne Rienner.
AYOOB, M. (1991). “The Security Problematic of the Third World”, World Politics, 43: 257-283.
AYOOB, M. (1994) “Security in the Third World: Searching for the Core Variable”, in Seeking Security and
Development: The Impact of Military Spending and Arms Transfers, Boulder, CO: Lynne Rienner Publishers,
pp. 21-27.
BAUGH, W. and SQUIRES, M. (1983). “Arms Transfers and the Onset of War Part I: Scalogram Analysis of
Transfer Patterns”, International Interactions, 10: 39-63.
Dumlupınar Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi – Sayı 37 – Temmuz 2013
9
BOBROW, D., HOPMANN, P. T., BENJAMIN, R. and SLYVAN, D.(1973). “The Impact of Foreign Assistance on
National Development and International Conflict”, Journal of Peace Science, 1: 39-60.
BROWN, L. C. (2001). “Introduction”, in BROWN, L. C., ed. Diplomacyin the Middle East: the International
Relations of Regional and Outside Powers. New York: I. B. Tauris Publishers.
CATRINA, C. (1994). “Main Directions of Research in the Arms Trade”, Annals of the American Academy of
Political and Social Science, 535: 190-205.
CONTEH-MORGAN, E. (1990). American Foreign Aid and Global Power Projection: The Geopolitics of
Resource Allocation.Brookfield, VT: Gower.
CRAFT, C. (1999). Weapons for Peace, Weapons for War: The Effect of Arms Transfers on War Outbreak,
Involvement, and Outcomes. New York, London: Routledge.
DESCH, M. C. (1989). “The Keys that Lock Up the World: Identifying American Interests in the Periphery,”
International Security, 14(1): 86-121.
EFIRD, B. (2001). A Generalized Power Transition Dynamics. Ph.D. Dissertation. Claremont Graduate
University.
GOCHMAN, C. S. (1990). “Capability-Driven Disputes”, in C.GOCHMAN, C. S. and SABROSKY, A., eds.
Prisoners of War?Lexington, MA: Lexington Books.
HAASS, R. N. (1994). Intervention: The Use of American Military Force in the Post-Cold War World.
Washington DC: Carnegie Endowment.
HOOK, S. W. (1995). National Interest and Foreign Aid. Boulder, CO:Lynne Rienner.
HOUWELING, H. and SICCAMA, J. (1988). “Power Transitions as a Cause of War”, Journal of Conflict
Resolution, 32 (1): 87-102.
KHALILZAD, Z. (1995). “The United States and the Persian Gulf:Preventing Regional Hegemony”, Survival, 37
(2): 95-120.
KIM, W. (1989). “Power, Alliance, and Major Wars, 1816-1975”, Journal of Conflict Resolution, 33 (2): 255-273.
KIM, W. (1992). “Power Transitions and Great Power War from Westphalia to Waterloo”, World Politics, 45 (1):
153-172.
KIM, W. (1996). “Power Parity, Alliance and War from 1648 to 1975.” In J. Kugler and D. Lemke, eds. Parity and
War. Ann Arbor, MI: University of Michigan Press.
KINSELLA, D. (1994). “Conflict in Context: Arms Transfers and Third World Rivalries during the Cold War”,
American Journal of Political Science, 38: 557-81.
KINSELLA, D. and TILLEMA, H. K. (1995). “Arms and Aggression in the Middle East: Overt Military
Interventions, 1948-1991”, Journal of Conflict Resolution, 39 (2): 306-329.
KUGLER, J. and LEMKE, D., eds. (1996). Parity and War. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.
LAIPSON, E. and HOKAYEM, E. (2006). “The Arab-Israeli Conflict and Regional Stability”, in RUSSELL, J.
E., ed.. Critical Issues Facing the Middle East: Security, Politics, and Economics. Palgrave:Macmillan.
Dumlupınar Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi – Sayı 37 – Temmuz 2013
10
LEBOVIC, J. H. (1988). “National Interest and US Foreign Aid: The Carter and Reagan Years”, Journal of
Peace Research, 25 (2): 115-135.
LEMKE, D. (1996). “Small States and War: An Expansion of Power Transition Theory”, in KUGLER, J. and
LEMKE, D., eds. Parity and War. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.
LEMKE, D. (2000). Regions of War and Peace. Department of Political Science, University of Michigan. Book
Manuscript.
LESSER, I. O., NARDULLI, B. R. and ARGHAVAN, L. A. (1998).“Sources of Conflict in the Greater Middle
East”, in Khalilzad, Z.and Lesser, I. O., eds. Sources of Conflict in the 21st Century:Regional Futures and U.S.
Strategy. RAND Corporation.
MEERNIK, J., KRUEGER, E. L. and POE, S. C. (1998). “Testing Models of US Foreign Policy: Foreign Aid
During and After the Cold War”, Journal of Politics, 60 (1): 63-85.
MILLER, B. (2001). “The Global Sources of Regional Transitions from War to Peace”, Journal of Peace Research,
38 (2): 199-225.
MILLER, BENJAMIN, AND KORINA KAGAN. (1997). “The Great Powers and Regional Conflicts: Eastern
Europe and the Balkans from the Post-Napoleonic Era to the Post-Cold War Era”, International Studies Quarterly,
41 (1): 51-85.
MORGENTHAU, H. J. (1948). Politics among Nations. 1st Edition. New York: Alfred A. Knopf.
ORGANSKI, A.F.K. (1958). World Politics. 1st edition. New York: Alfred A. Knopf.
ORGANSKI, A.F. K . and KUGLER, J. (1980). The War Ledger. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
PALMER, G., WOHLANDER, S. B. and MORGAN, D. T. C. (2002). “Give or Take: Foreign Aid and Foreign
Policy Substitutability”, Journal of Peace Research, 39 (1): 5-26.
POE, S. C. andMEERNIK, J. (1995). “US Military Aid in the 1980s: A Global Analysis,” Journal of Peace
Research, 32 (4): 399-411.
RICE, C. (1991). “The Evolution of Soviet Grand Strategy”, in KENNEDY,P., ed. Grand Strategies in War and
Peace. New Haven and London: Yale University Press.
RUMER, E. B. (2000). Dangerous Drift: Russia’s Middle East Policy.Policy Paper no 54. Washington, DC: the
Washington Institute for Near East Policy.
RUSSELL, J. A. (2006). “Strategy, Policy, and War in Iraq: the United States and the Gulf in the Twenty-First
Century”, in RUSSELL, J.A., ed. Critical Issues Facing the Middle East: Security, Politics,and Economics.
Palgrave: Macmillan.
RUSSELL, R. L. (2005). Weapons Proliferation and War in the Greater Middle East: Strategic Contest.
London and New York:Routledge.
SANJIAN, G. (1991). “Great Power Arms Transfers: Modeling the Decision Making Processes of Hegemonic,
Industrial, and Restrictive Exporters”, International Studies Quarterly, (35): 173-93.
SCHRAEDER, P. J, HOOK, S. W. and TAYLOR, B. (1998). “Clarifying the Foreign Aid Puzzle: A Comparison of
American, Japanese, French, and Swedish Aid Flows”, World Politics, 50 (2): 294-323.
Dumlupınar Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi – Sayı 37 – Temmuz 2013
11
SCHRODT, P. A. (1983). “Arms Transfers and International Behavior in the Arabian Sea Area”, International
Interactions, 10: 101-127.
SHERWIN, R. G. (1983). “Controlling Instability and Conflict through Arms Transfers: Testing a Policy
Assumption”, International Interactions, 10: 65-99.
STARR, H. (1978). “‘Opportunity’ and ‘Willingness’ as Ordering Concepts in the Study of War”, International
Interactions, 4(4):363-387.
Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI). (1971). The Arms Trade with the Third World.
Stockholm, Sweden: Almqvist and Wiksell.
SUTTER, R. G. (2000). Chinese Policy Priorities and their Implications for the United States. Lanham, Md:
Rowman & LittlefieldPublishers, Inc.
TAMMEN, R., KUGLER, J., LEMKE, D., STAM III, A., ABDOLLAHIAN, M., ALSHARABATI, C., EFIRD, B.,
and ORGANSKI, A.F.K. (2000). Power transition: Strategic Policies for the 21st Century. Chatham: Chatham
House.
WALTZ, K. N. (1979). Theory of International Politics. New York: McGraw Hill.
WERNER, S., and KUGLER, J. (1996). “Power Transitions and Military Buildups.” in KUGLER, J. and LEMKE,
D., eds. Parity and War. Ann Arbor, MI: University of Michigan Press.

Thank you for copying data from http://www.arastirmax.com